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Credit Default Swaps


credit default swaps

(L-R) Goldman Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, Bank of New York Mellon CEO Robert Kelly, Bank of America CEO Ken Lewis and State Street CEO Ronald Logue (Photo: Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images)

Definition: Credit default swaps (CDS) are contracts that insure against default of municipal bonds, corporate debt and mortgage-backed securities. They are sold by banks, insurance companies and hedge funds who collect a premium for providing the insurance.

Unlike home and auto insurance, however, CDS were unregulated. This means that, when the bond defaulted, there was no regulator to make sure the seller of the CDS actually had the money to pay the holder. In fact, most financial institutions that sold CDS only held a small percentage of what they needed to pay the insurance. In other words, they were undercapitalized.

When CDS were only sold as insurance, the system worked fine. That's because most of the debt that was insured did not default. Unfortunately, the CDS gave a false sense of security to bond purchasers. They bought riskier and riskier debt because they thought the CDS protected them from the risk.

Credit Default Swaps and the JP Morgan Chase Loss

On May 10 2012, JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon announced the bank had lost $2 billion betting on the strength of credit default swaps. The bank's London desk executed a series of complicated trades that would profit if corporate bond indexes rose. One, the Markit CDX NA IG Series 9 maturing in 2017, was a portfolio of credit default swaps. That index tracked the credit quality of 121 high quality bond issuers, such as Kraft Foods and Wal-Mart. When the trade started losing money, many other traders started taking the opposite position, hoping to profit from JPMorgan's loss. As of May 17, 2012, the trade lost $3 billion. (Source: Reuters, JP Morgan Future Losses at the Mercy of an Obscure Index, May 17, 2012; New York Times, JPMorgan's Trading Loss Is Said to Rise at Least 50%, May 17, 2012)

Credit Default Swaps and the Greece Debt Crisis

This false sense of security contributed to the Greece debt crisis. Investors bought Greek sovereign debt, even though the country debt to GDP ratio was higher than the European Union's 3% limit. That's because the investors also bought CDS to protect them from the (at that time) unlikely potential of default.

In 2012, these investors found out just how little the CDS protected them. Greece required the bondholders to take a 75% loss on their holdings. Since it was mandated by Greek law, the CDS were not triggered. This could have destroyed the CDS market, because it set a precedent that borrowers (like Greece) could intentionally circumvent the CDS payout. However, the International Swaps and Derivatives Association ruled that the CDS must be paid, regardless. (New York Times, Greek Credit Default Swaps Are Activated, March 9, 2012; Credit Default Swaps)

Furthermore, CDS were used to insure complicated financial products like mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). Swaps were traded in unregulated markets between those who had no relationships to the underlying assets. They didn't understand the risk inherent in these derivatives.

Credit Default Swaps and the 2008 Financial Crisis

By mid-2007, there was more than $45 trillion invested in CDS -- more than the money invested in U.S. stock market ($22 trillion), mortgages ($7.1 trillion) and U.S. Treasuries ($4.4 trillion) combined. In fact, it was almost as much as the economic output of the entire world in 2007, which was $65 trillion.

As the value of underlying assets fell, and the insurance had to be paid, the value of the swaps fell. This caused the demise of AIG, which had an $11 billion CDS write-down. Other companies that were hard hit were Swiss Reinsurance Co., MBIA and Ambac Financial Group Inc. The breakdown in the CDS market meant less ability to get insurance for loans. As a result, banks became less likely to make loans. In addition, they realized they needed to hold more capital, and become more risk-averse in their lending. This has cut off a source of funds for small businesses and home loans. These were both large factors that kept unemployment at record levels. In this way, CDS contributed to the 2008 financial crisis. (Source: Time, Credit Default Swaps: The Next Crisis?, March 17, 2008)

CDS and Dodd-Frank

In 2009, the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform Act sought to correct the problem with credit default swaps. It mandated that swaps be regulated by the SEC or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It specifically required a clearinghouse be set up to trade and fairly price swaps. Unfortunately, the Act didn't say how this should be done. Instead, the regulators were left with the problem to sort it out. They've come under intense lobbying by the banks to prevent regulation. As a result, the execution of this type of protection for (and from) credit default swaps has been delayed until studies were completed. (Article updated May 17, 2012)
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