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Kimberly Amadeo

Kimberly's US Economy Blog

By Kimberly Amadeo, About.com Guide to US Economy

What Is the Real Cost of Medicare Fraud?

Monday November 2, 2009

One of the key arguments in Obama's healthcare reform proposal is that the government can lower healthcare costs by 1.5% a year, by negotiating lower prices and reducing other inefficiencies. The annual healthcare bill is $2 trillion, so this would save $30 billion a year.

A recent "60 Minutes" show, repeated by many sources, says Medicare fraud costs $60 billion a year, which would negate the savings in the Obama plan. However, my About.com colleague and professional journalist Pierre Tristam reports the true cost is closer to $19 billion at most. My own estimates put fraud costs between $14-$30 billion.

Share Your Opinion - Should Healthcare Be Reformed

What It Means to You

Why does this overstatement of Medicare fraud matter? Without healthcare reform, Medicare and Medicaid costs will rise from 6% (current) to 15% of GDP by 2040. Obama's healthcare reform proposal will lower costs by $2,600 per family in 2020 and $10,000 by 2030. It will reduce the deficit by 3% of GDP by by 2020, which will lower unemployment .25% per year, creating 500,000 jobs. It will also reduce visits to the emergency room by the uninsured, saving $100 billion, or .6% of GDP, per year.

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Comments

November 3, 2009 at 6:49 pm
(1) Dori Ann says:

Reform yes – this bill – NO WAY. See WSJ article out today titled “Worst Bill Ever” – Epic new spending and taxes, pricier insurance, rationed care, dishonest accounting. This is going to individually cost citizens/taxpayers (working professionals) thousands and not reform healthcare the way it really needs to.

November 3, 2009 at 8:35 pm
(2) useconomy says:

You obviously don’t like the House Bill. Do you think the Obama Proposal or the Senate Bil is better? Or would you propose something else entirely?

Kimberly

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