1. Home
  2. News & Issues
  3. US Economy

Irrational Exuberance

By Kimberly Amadeo, About.com

Definition: Irrational Exuberance was a phrase coined by Alan Greenspan in 1996 to describe why investors would drive a stock market bubble. In this speech to the American Enterprise Institute in 1996, the then-Chairman of the Federal Reserve was describing the frenzy and greed that stock investors feel at the top of a bull market. This irrational exuberance causes investors to overlook deteriorating economic fundamentals in the pursuit of ever-higher returns.

The danger of irrational exuberance is that it doesn't last. The frenzy of greed then turns to the panic of fear, which drives investors to sell at any cost. This collapse in stock market prices can spread to the entire economy.

Greenspan was talking about the proper role of monetary policy, which usually doesn't concern itself with the stock market or even real estate prices. He noted, however, that central bankers must be concerned when they sense that irrational exuberance is driving a boom that could lead to a bust. When the stock market affects the economy, then central bankers must get involved.

Greenspan's use of the phrase irrational exuberance caused stock markets to decline the next day. That is because investors became afraid that the powerful Federal Reserve Chairman would raise interest rates to slow down the economy. Ever since then, the term irrational exuberance has become a rather famous phrase used to describe stock market booms.

Examples:
"But how do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions as they have in Japan over the past decade?" (Source: Alan Greenspan, "Speech to the American Enterprise Institute," December 6, 1996)

Make the most of your money despite troubling financial times.

Explore US Economy

About.com Special Features

What is a Recession?

Sure, we're all talking about it, but what, exactly, defines a recession? More >

Weird Breaking News

A daily look at some of the oddest (and dumbest) crimes around. More >

  1. Home
  2. News & Issues
  3. US Economy

©2009 About.com, a part of The New York Times Company.

All rights reserved.